April 11, 2014
April 10, 2014
Market outlook
Trend is up with support at 6640. Considering yesterday's rally, a sideways movement of 1-2 days is perfectly in order.
So unless markets break this level in 2 days, I will not consider any sort of trend reversal.
This is not a market for shorting so keep buying the dips. I am saying this because I am getting desperate calls from people who are shorting from 6200 levels and do not believe in stoploss. Now they are paying (very rightly) for their follies.
I have no target for this rally... 7200 is the nearest Fibonacci resistance level... after that who knows and who cares. Just follow the trend which is up right now and hold all positions with a trailing stoploss.
So unless markets break this level in 2 days, I will not consider any sort of trend reversal.
This is not a market for shorting so keep buying the dips. I am saying this because I am getting desperate calls from people who are shorting from 6200 levels and do not believe in stoploss. Now they are paying (very rightly) for their follies.
I have no target for this rally... 7200 is the nearest Fibonacci resistance level... after that who knows and who cares. Just follow the trend which is up right now and hold all positions with a trailing stoploss.
April 9, 2014
Market outlook (NIFTY and B.NIFTY)
In a previous post, I mentioned that the "... expected correction has started or may even be ending!".
Two days of lower highs and lower lows is all we got and this is enough in a bull market.
Right enough, the correction ended faster than it ever started and trapped everyone who are desperately looking for an opportunity to short a rising market.
Advance decline was excellent.
Two days of lower highs and lower lows is all we got and this is enough in a bull market.
Right enough, the correction ended faster than it ever started and trapped everyone who are desperately looking for an opportunity to short a rising market.
Advance decline was excellent.
April 7, 2014
April 6, 2014
Example of risk management
RANBAXY... an interesting trade. This stock was not on my watchlist but someone at my brokerage shorted when it was up 10%. According to him, the 10% move was not warranted and so he shorted.
April 4, 2014
Weekly update
On daily charts, nifty formed lower high lower low... this is the first sign of the correction (yesterday's outside bar was a rough warning). The intraday charts however show a great deal of struggle to come down.
Intraday analysis
Weak and rangebound day. There was only one possible short trade when nifty crossed the day's high but failed to sustain above it. Expectedly, the rangebound nature of the market limited the gains.
Incidentally break of day's low (9.45 bar) is NOT a short trade (shown with arrow) as the bar closing was midway.
Incidentally break of day's low (9.45 bar) is NOT a short trade (shown with arrow) as the bar closing was midway.
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April 2, 2014
April 1, 2014
Buying a stock after a big move
Can you buy a stock AFTER it has already moved 10% in a day? Or say it is at lifetime high? Or at 52 week high? If yes, you are on your way to be a good trader.
Market outlook
No signs of any correction while nifty is still maintaining formation of higher highs and higher lows intact.
While a correction is overdue, it may be a short affair with the broader sense veering towards buy on dips.
While a correction is overdue, it may be a short affair with the broader sense veering towards buy on dips.
Intraday analysis
Past 2-3 days, markets are seeing selling followed by immediate buying. Today was no different.
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