October 11, 2020

Charts do not predict prices

October 10, 2020

Sheer randomness or luck?

Is this rally being sold into?

 


October 9, 2020

NIFTY EOD Charts

- trend is up on daily charts
- today nifty closed 0.7% in positive at 11914
- but AD was 4:5

- now swing low at 10800
- but that is far so I will consider support around 11500
- minor whipsaws ok



Schroedinger's plates - for the scientifically inclined

 They are both broken and not broken until you open the door.




Which timeframe to use

 


October 8, 2020

Historic move

NIFTY intraday charts

5 min:
- ignore first short signal as bar close is not at low


NIFTY EOD charts

- trend is up on daily charts
- today nifty closed 0.8% in positive at 11835
- AD was 4:5

- despite gapup opening, markets closed flat  forming a doji

- of late, AD is not encouraging as markets are moving higher
- and we have heavyweights leading the rally turn by turn
- one day it was TCS, next day Reliance, then HDFC twins and so on
- today it was TCS and HDFCBANK

- note region of 11000-12000 is a huge congestion area for almost 3 years

- an interesting observation
- nifty has gained 1000 points in less than 10 days
- and most of the gains were in overnight gapups






October 6, 2020

NIFTY intraday charts

15 min:


NIFTY EOD charts

- today nifty closed 1.4% in positive at 11662
- AD was 5:4

- with today's move, nifty has recovered all losses
- now holding above 11500 has possibility of retest of 12000



Difference between money and wealth

 Singer Rihanna earns tens of millions of dollars, but found herself “effectively bankrupt” in 2009. She sued her financial adviser for not doing his job. He offered a legendary response: “Was it really necessary to tell her that if you spend money on things you will end up with the things and not the money?”

The first iron rule of money is that wealth is the stuff you don’t see. It’s the cars not purchased, the clothes not bought, the jewelry forgone. Money buys things, but wealth — assets such as cash, stocks, bonds, in the bank, unspent — buys freedom and security. Pick which one you want wisely.-from Fool

October 5, 2020

NIFTY intraday charts

5 min:



NIFTY EOD charts

- markets directionless
- no strong move in neither direction
- flirting around 11000 levels is there for 3 years
- we had a short signal on break of 11000 but this was stopped out

- in today's market, nifty closed 0.8% in positive at 11503
- candlestick was a doji
- AD was 5:4



October 2, 2020

The banking interest moratorium conundrum explained

 


NIFTY intraday charts

5 min:


NIFTY EOD charts

- trend is down on daily charts
- nifty closed 1.7% in positive at 11417
- AD was 11:7

- despite gap up, trading range was small

- VIX dropped 6% to 18

- note that nifty is trading around 11000 for 3 years.
- so this is a huge sideways market



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