March 18, 2020

Market outlook

Daily charts:
- trend is down on daily charts
- today nifty closed 6% in negative at 8470
- AD was 1:5

- VIX at 65

- few days ago, nifty formed a huge with low at 8555 and high around 10000
- I said this range can persist for few weeks at least
- markets broke this level in just 3 days

- fall this month is 24.5%
- this is second highest fall in last 20 years
- highest fall was 26.5%  in OCT 2008 (closing basis)



3 min charts:
- took a long trade in deep OTM puts
- difficult trade as the put hardly moved even after 100 points fall
- will stay away from options
- with IVs at 80% plus, very difficult to trade





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